Oil Rises After Saudi Arabia Signaled It’s Ready To Cut Output


    Oil advanced to the highest since July 2015 after Saudi Arabia signaled it’s ready to cut output more than earlier agreed and non-OPEC countries including Russia pledged to pump less next year.

    Futures climbed 2.6 percent in New York and 2.5 percent in London. Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih said Saturday the biggest crude exporter will “cut substantially to be below” the target agreed on last month with members of OPEC. His comments followed a deal by 11 non-OPEC countries to join forces with the group and trim output by 558,000 barrels a day next year, the first pact between the rivals in 15 years.

    U.S. oil futures have gained almost 20 percent since the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed on Nov. 30 to cut output for the first time in eight years. Saudi Arabia, which initiated OPEC’s decision in 2014 to pump without limits, is leading efforts to regain control of the market. The OPEC and non-OPEC plan encompasses countries that produce about 60 percent of the world’s crude.

    The non-OPEC cut was expected but nobody foresaw the Saudi statement. The market’s giving bonus points because the Saudis are willing to do whatever has to be done to balance the market. It wouldn’t be up anywhere near as much on the agreement alone.

    West Texas Intermediate for January delivery rose $1.33 to settle at $52.83 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It’s the highest close since July 14, 2015. Total volume traded was about 81 percent higher than the 100-day average at 3 p.m.

    Brent for February settlement climbed $1.36 to $55.69 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract closed at the highest since July 22, 2015. The global benchmark crude ended the session at a $1.94 premium to February WTI.

    The main impact of the non-OPEC collaboration is to pull the global market into balance, if not in deficit, in the second quarter of 2017, rather than in the third quarter. On an annual average basis, this pushed the global balance into a 200,000 to 300,000 barrel-a-day deficit for the year.

    Oil and gas companies advanced in the U.S. and Europe. Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp., the biggest U.S. energy producers, climbed 1.9 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively, at 3 p.m.

    “I can tell you with absolute certainty that effective Jan. 1 we’re going to cut and cut substantially, to be below the level that we have committed to on Nov. 30,” Al-Falih said Saturday in Vienna. The Saudi minister added that the country was ready to take production below 10 million barrels a day, a level it has sustained since March 2015.

    Al-Falih and his Russian counterpart Alexander Novak also revealed Saturday that they have been working for nearly a year on the agreement, meeting multiple times in secret. OPEC two weeks ago agreed to reduce its own production by 1.2 million barrels a day, and Saudi Arabia has long insisted that any cuts by the group be accompanied by action from other suppliers.

    The Saudi statement show’s they’re really serious. There’s little chance that they’ll bail if things get difficult. It’s clear they want to make this work. Oil prices at $60 a barrel would be “ideal” for OPEC as higher levels risk sparking a recovery in competing supplies from the U.S., Nigerian Minister of State for Petroleum.

    Do Something represents some substantial facts about Oil that should be of interest to many. Oil is measured in barrels, which is equal to 42 US gallons or 159 liters.

    The US has the 10th largest oil reserve in the world. Venezuela has the largest, with 298.35 billion barrels compared to the US 33 billion barrels. The US consumes more oil than any other country — 1.85 billion barrels per day. Gasoline makes up 45% of crude oil. Petrochemicals (found in oil) helped produce the electronic device you are reading on right now.

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    I am a lecturer at the University of Economics in Bratislava, department of Banking and International Finance. I have a Ph.D. academic degree, my dissertation was focused on major markets. Commodities and stock markets are also the main focus of my research and publication activities. I have approximately 10 years of investing experiences. My investments mostly focus on small- to mid-cap companies of energy sector, financial and technology.